Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 15.265587 17.510196 19.988971 22.932470 26.336684 30.154925 34.769267
2025-10-19 12.564863 15.554139 19.127980 23.727725 29.509024 36.558269 45.841752
2025-10-26 10.410615 13.597361 17.626819 23.118729 30.445321 39.933525 53.235157
2025-11-02 8.992104 12.269048 16.606537 22.803158 31.487047 43.309925 60.773736
2025-11-09 7.926182 11.228925 15.776508 22.543778 32.442687 46.522558 68.298391
2025-11-16 7.058247 10.337971 15.014860 22.232385 33.202882 49.432867 75.598113
2025-11-23 6.306106 9.517692 14.244538 21.783624 33.649804 51.846491 82.320533
2025-11-30 6.018045 9.349456 14.404657 22.729167 36.283710 57.810330 95.230906
2025-12-07 5.630620 8.981695 14.210743 23.077761 37.973823 62.408907 106.380564
2025-12-14 5.209775 8.515502 13.808701 23.031961 38.983359 65.951511 116.079586
2025-12-21 4.807840 8.039757 13.341409 22.818408 39.663393 68.965901 125.131589
2025-12-28 4.641881 7.941387 13.486657 23.656920 42.239660 75.509938 141.297967
2026-01-04 4.439841 7.767471 13.494566 24.267056 44.493140 81.752765 157.742781
2026-01-11 4.290228 7.671410 13.627562 25.111959 47.259430 89.221512 177.460372
2026-01-18 3.935050 7.172607 12.993622 24.465467 47.118411 91.121046 186.202774
2026-01-25 3.658821 6.795117 12.547884 24.130489 47.539454 94.139019 197.572055
2026-02-01 3.416666 6.460935 12.153652 23.855169 48.042993 97.353927 209.707269
2026-02-08 3.189872 6.137277 11.751793 23.524652 48.393683 100.273399 221.513959
2026-02-15 2.966388 5.801974 11.299536 23.048359 48.387073 102.425491 231.825668
2026-02-22 2.923443 5.821832 11.550689 24.051949 51.636056 111.911198 260.187065
2026-03-01 2.815506 5.700775 11.506308 24.421979 53.530538 118.591503 282.712289
2026-03-08 2.673896 5.498888 11.278942 24.373361 54.478948 123.218838 300.789092
2026-03-15 2.526245 5.272952 10.983335 24.146676 54.995157 126.890482 316.914528